In its most recent update, Thunberg was followed by Wikileaks founder Julian Assange with a 12.5 percent chance of winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, then documentary maker David Attenborough on 10 percent, and the International Court of Justice with 7.7 percent.

Rep. Buddy Carter (R-Ga.) has nominated President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize for the president’s role in brokering this week’s ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel.