A tropical system with a low chance of formation is set to cross Florida, dumping rain across the state — again. The National Hurricane Center is tracking a disturbance near the southeast coast with a 10% chance of strengthening into a tropical depression in the next two to seven days, as of Wednesday afternoon.

In one worst-case scenario, New Orleans could receive up to 10 inches of rain by the end of the weekend. A tropical disturbance and the heavy rain moving along with it will bring a risk of flash flooding to Florida and the central Gulf Coast in the coming days, particularly in southern Louisiana, including New Orleans and Baton Rouge.

A disturbance off the Atlantic coast of Florida could bring heavy rainfall to portions of Florida and the Gulf Coast in the coming days.