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Earth, asteroid
'Large' asteroid's odds of hitting Earth went up. But not why you think.
It's certain that recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 will swing close to Earth in 2032. The chances of an impact remain low — but with relatively limited observations so far, the odds are in flux.
Chances of a big asteroid strike on Earth just doubled. Here’s why you shouldn’t be too worried.
A large asteroid dubbed 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of hitting the Earth on Dec. 22, 2032, according to NASA and the European Space Agency. That estimate, made Friday, works out to approximately a one-in-45 chance of direct impact, which also means a 44-in-45 chance of a miss.
Odds of an asteroid impact in 2032 just went up. Here's why experts say you shouldn't worry
A 1-in-83 chance of an impact represented a 1.2% chance of an impact. That meant there was a 98.8% that 2024 YR4 would miss Earth. The new figure of 1-in-43 represents a 2.3% chance of a strike. "That means we are still at 97.7% chance of a miss from this asteroid," Rankin told Space.com.
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Asteroid 2024 YR4: Should we be worried as impact probability rises to 2.3%, here's what scientists are saying
YR4, discovered on December 27, 2024, by the ATLAS survey in Chile, has recently garnered attention due to an increased ...
6h
on MSN
The odds of an asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 just went slightly up
The chances that a space rock could hit Earth in less than a decade just went up slightly, according to NASA scientists. The ...
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