George Russell and Kimi Antonelli remaining without contracts for next season at Mercedes, Red Bull’s struggles in recent weeks, and reporting that Verstappen was inching closer to a shocking move to Mercedes — the paddock has been ablaze with speculation about the four-time champion’s future.

F1 betting sites are all backing Norris for the win at 7/4, just ahead of Piastri at 9/5 and Verstappen at 5/1. Reigning champion Verstappen didn’t finish in Austria last weekend, bringing an end to a 31-race points streak. His last retirement before then was also on the first lap, at Silverstone in 2021, when he was also hit by a Mercedes.